Polymarket Trader

toralex

@toralex394

0x6c66dff9a9249010e9dd1bc3dc8531fec6ee7f6b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.74
Realized PnL: $38.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $16.48
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12PM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11PM ET

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Kape position

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 18.75 shares
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Yes 89% 1.16 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 57.69 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 42.25 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 34.88 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 34.09 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 27.27 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 19.73 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

No 93% 1.51 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.3% 14.08 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 57.69 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 42.25 shares