Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $56.59
- Potential profit
- $56.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.72
Polymarket Trader
0x6C6F8aA52da3b62f8992205c771302049ed3303E-1783955104660
0x6c6f8aa52da3b62f8992205c771302049ed3303e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.42
- Realized PnL
- $136.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $8.6
- Potential profit
- $8.21
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.5
N
No position
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown 78% 26.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown 97% 97.54 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 10% 4.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 14?No 76% 1.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 14?No 64% 1.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 15?No 80.8% 1.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?No 66% 1.61 shares
- Will Rodney Glassman be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?No 87% 1.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 14?No 97.8% 1.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 15?No 95% 1.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 14?No 78% 1.61 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No 78% 1.71 shares