Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $300.5
- Potential payout
- $846.48
- Potential profit
- $545.98
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $155.95
Polymarket Trader
duchonka
0x6c703698a84c434e1c6878a466d0f0511ab6e068
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $383.45
- Realized PnL
- -$4.13K
- Win rate
- 76.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $82.95
- Potential payout
- $474.02
- Potential profit
- $391.06
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$196.72
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $444.06
- Potential profit
- $444.06
- User PnL
- -$37.52
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.68
- Potential profit
- $42.68
- User PnL
- -$19.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4900 August 18–24?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344
Avalanche position
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.2
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.19
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.96
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.53
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.79
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.75
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.51
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Ethereum all time high by August 22?
Ends Aug 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$497.64
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Over position
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.29K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 59% 474.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 45% 42.68 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 95.2% 314.78 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.1% 314.78 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in February?No 93.8% 296.21 shares
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5Over 75% 1,466 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 98.1% 1,020.4 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 98% 1,020.41 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 35.9% 46.82 shares
- Blue Jackets vs. AvalancheAvalanche 74% 202.7 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No 96.5% 113.65 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes 80.9% 300 shares