Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $209.95
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$17.85
Polymarket Trader
0x6C724A17474E5aFB32A35851b1e6f140cafA1243-1777574067046
0x6c724a17474e5afb32a35851b1e6f140cafa1243
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $372
- Realized PnL
- $642.83
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $341.99
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $259.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $155
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.1
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.35
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $57.47
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $56.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $423.13
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.49
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $26.99
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.61
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.02
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 61% 300 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 32% 200 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 26% 407.55 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 3% 220 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 4% 400 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 88.1% 215.16 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 33% 199.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 33% 200 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 86% 144.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 41% 130 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 81% 100 shares