Polymarket Trader

SomethingSmart

0x6c8ff25b8f9f022f3b20a91bc111edc661291181

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.44
Realized PnL: $11.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $10.44
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$19.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.97
Potential profit: $659.97
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $619.99
Potential profit: $619.99
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.98
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.98
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580
Potential profit: $580
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $579.99
Potential profit: $579.99
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $579.94
Potential profit: $579.94
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $540
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539.99
Potential profit: $539.99
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539.95
Potential profit: $539.95
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539.92
Potential profit: $539.92
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $520
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.98
Potential profit: $519.98
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.98
Potential profit: $519.98
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.97
Potential profit: $519.97
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.93
Potential profit: $519.93
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.32
Potential profit: $511.32
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $499.97
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.94
Potential profit: $499.94
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.94
Potential profit: $499.94
User PnL: -$0.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $594.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $560.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $403.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $384

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $360.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $342.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $327.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $315.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $272.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.9% 1,605.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 19?

Yes 9% 1.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 19?

Yes 12% 8.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 19?

Yes 6% 17.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 19?

Yes 5% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 19?

Yes 25% 7.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or below on May 19?

Yes 0.4% 57.47 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 19?

Yes 0.5% 7.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 19?

Yes 0.9% 80 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 19?

Yes 35% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 19?

Yes 28% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 19?

Yes 6% 17.5 shares