Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $9.74K
- Potential payout
- $11.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Polymarket Trader
startrader644
0x6c9264336622411ea73283e7624bb2a6e00b1322
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.88K
- Realized PnL
- $239.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.67K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$34.97
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- User PnL
- -$643.78
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $439.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $113.6
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $885.31
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $168.56
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $466.9
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $486.14
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $552.07
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $404.77
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $470.31
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $93.59
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$441.83
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $739.71
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $503.5
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $112.77
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.22
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $192
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$724.56
Yes position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $820
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $121.67
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$660
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $545
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $455
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$195
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $929.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $260
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $980.81
- Potential profit
- $980.81
- User PnL
- -$696.38
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $732.1
- Potential profit
- $732.1
- User PnL
- -$227.33
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $630.16
- Potential profit
- $630.16
- User PnL
- -$224.54
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$420
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $219.45
- Potential payout
- $570
- Potential profit
- $350.55
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$128.25
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $301.35
- Potential payout
- $401.8
- Potential profit
- $100.45
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $68.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
Ends Nov 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7160477.28x
- User PnL
- $14.52K
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021?
Ends Oct 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6223567.63x
- User PnL
- $14.26K
No position
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022?
Ends Apr 20, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2354141.69x
- User PnL
- $14.26K
No position
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 4.5 points in their April 24, 1:00 PM ET matchup?
Ends Apr 24, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 737812.01x
- User PnL
- $13.49K
Yes position
Will 'The Batman' gross $160 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA?
Ends Mar 7, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 4349484.19x
- User PnL
- $12.54K
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022?
Ends Jul 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 664106.07x
- User PnL
- $11.41K
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
Ends Sep 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 13242921.18x
- User PnL
- $10.81K
Y
Yes position
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6458428.02x
- User PnL
- $10.81K
No position
Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th?
Ends Nov 4, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6261333.25x
- User PnL
- $10.38K
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
Ends Jul 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7061299.45x
- User PnL
- $10.29K
Yes position
Will the price of Polygon (MATIC) be above $1.45 on April 29th, 2022?
Ends Apr 29, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1765503.36x
- User PnL
- $9.83K
Yes position
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score?
Ends Aug 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1836629.63x
- User PnL
- $9.69K
Yes position
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 5274211.23x
- User PnL
- $9.08K
Yes position
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 60M global weekly streams for period Nov 4 - Nov 11?
Ends Nov 12, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7116769.41x
- User PnL
- $9.01K
CryptoPunks position
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022?
Ends Apr 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2224166.08x
- User PnL
- $8.77K
76ers position
NBA: Who will win 76ers vs. Raptors, scheduled for April 23, 2:00 PM ET?
Ends Apr 23, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 751566.32x
- User PnL
- $8.53K
Yes position
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by April 25, 2022?
Ends Apr 25, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 767518.50x
- User PnL
- $8.31K
Yes position
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Mavericks by more than 5.5 points in their March 13 (3.30 PM ET) matchup?
Ends Mar 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1111217.27x
- User PnL
- $8.28K
Yes position
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?
Ends Nov 11, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2739915.30x
- User PnL
- $8.27K
Nets position
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for March 23 (7.30 PM ET)?
Ends Mar 23, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 74359067.49x
- User PnL
- $7.91K
Yes position
Will $ETH be above $3,100 on April 28, 2022?
Ends Apr 28, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1976331.00x
- User PnL
- $7.33K
No position
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 8153298.18x
- User PnL
- $7.23K
Yes position
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021?
Ends Nov 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 719688.72x
- User PnL
- $7.05K
No position
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1298702.42x
- User PnL
- $7K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No 89% 1,000 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 16% 799 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 69.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 47.7% 299 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 63% 700 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 62.7% 600 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 44% 275 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 62% 370 shares
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 84% 330 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No 85% 65 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?No 79% 26 shares