TRACKER2

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.3%
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: $168.12

Yes position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 22 be between 2,700,000 and 2,900,000?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.02

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 13 be greater than 2,800,000?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.8

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $44.85

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.74

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 25 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.26

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 21 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on March 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 22?