Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.53
- Potential profit
- $328.53
- User PnL
- -$15.11
Polymarket Trader
0x6ca1...17e5
0x6ca131ac49a6771b8ef2aa292539bc6ead4017e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $14.43
- Realized PnL
- $6.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $284.11
- Potential profit
- $284.11
- User PnL
- -$88.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.62
- Potential profit
- $257.62
- User PnL
- -$57.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.51
- Potential profit
- $179.51
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$21.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $14.43
- Potential payout
- $60.13
- Potential profit
- $45.7
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $9.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$22.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.88
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $320.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $203.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $164.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?Yes 9% 60.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?Yes 17% 23.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?Yes 20% 45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 19?Yes 17% 55.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 19?Yes 25.4% 132.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?Yes 39% 9.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?Yes 40% 103 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 19?Yes 2% 24.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 19?Yes 3% 175.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?Yes 9% 46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?Yes 8.6% 174.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?Yes 33.7% 28.5 shares