Polymarket Trader

SharkyLV

0x6ca5abfb40b11974f80a7da97a09876785f5fb42

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.43
Realized PnL: $816.08
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.47
Potential profit: $277.47
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $22.57
Potential payout: $129.44
Potential profit: $106.86
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$8.43

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $15.26
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $90
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$24.74

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.89
Potential profit: $104.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.86
Potential profit: $72.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.79
Potential profit: $54.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

X relaunches Vine before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.35
Potential profit: $39.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.33
Potential profit: $21.33
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$4.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.51

No position

Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.76

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.53

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.54

Yes position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.44

Prochazka position

Prochazka vs. Hill

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.64

No position

Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.4

No position

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during victory rally?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

No position

Diddy sex tape released before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.94

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.93

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Yes position

Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be below 60?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

Yes position

Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

No position

SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.66

No position

Will Harris win California by 25+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will Gladiator II gross between $53-60m on opening weekend?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

Yes position

Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Yes 22% 27.27 shares
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Yes 24% 129.44 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Yes 14.8% 277.47 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Yes 13.7% 72.86 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

No 42.2% 21.33 shares
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?

No 8% 62.5 shares
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Yes 1.8% 54.79 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Yes 1% 104.89 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares