Polymarket Trader

Sevenum

0x6cab994f35ad7ec159c298dffde3dac9b441abe1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $370.67
Realized PnL: $3.69K
Win rate: 64.7%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.98K
Potential profit: $32.98K
User PnL: -$549.98

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.4K
Potential profit: $25.4K
User PnL: -$801.88

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.95K
Potential profit: $13.95K
User PnL: -$304

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $9.88K
User PnL: -$744.99

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $52.86
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$147.14

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$638.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $97.47
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$202.53

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $69.3
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$30.7

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$450

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $151.04
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $890.63
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$98.96

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$420

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$50

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.35
Potential profit: $882.35
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781.43
Potential profit: $781.43
User PnL: -$200

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $725.13
Potential profit: $725.13
User PnL: -$200

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.98
Potential profit: $501.98
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $292.87
Potential profit: $292.87
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.25

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $831.74

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $798.97

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.62

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.62

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.23

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.89

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.97

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: $23.07

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$47.17

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.89

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$155.24

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$157.48

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$271.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 3.2% 0.35 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 14% 892.86 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 12% 1,041.66 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 27% 155.56 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 8% 526.31 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 27% 640.74 shares
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 15.8% 1,094.74 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 28% 1,067.86 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.8% 25,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.8% 3,964.8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 2.4% 2,083.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 5.2% 1,931.35 shares