No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $816.36
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $69.97
Polymarket Trader
chickendinner69
0x6cb22d418aa127cacf1b8ceb67ed70bd614f7d7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.67K
- Realized PnL
- $6.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $443.27
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $48.62
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $171
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$175
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $946.29
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $699.43
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $137.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $848.73
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- User PnL
- $171.73
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $193.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $106.5
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.4%
- Current value
- $195.08
- Potential payout
- $248.99
- Potential profit
- $53.91
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $155.77
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.6%
- Current value
- $60.58
- Potential payout
- $85.81
- Potential profit
- $25.23
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.2
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $353.93
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.28
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.81
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.75
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.78
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.18
No position
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $14.28
No position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 50% 300 shares
- Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?No 99.8% 150 shares
- Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes 0.1% 458.34 shares
- Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes 0.2% 730 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 19% 400 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 86% 250 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 64% 300 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 75.5% 58.28 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 75.4% 71.56 shares
- Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes 12% 715.39 shares
- Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes 10.9% 470.95 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 46% 345.72 shares