Polymarket Trader

orange0001

@jiangdichun

0x6cb5d1d059e133cb905a2e987511cf0d32bdb230

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $426.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.83K
Potential profit: $17.83K
User PnL: -$34.76

No position

Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.58K
User PnL: -$18.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Team Envy position

Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$167.24

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2PM ET

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or below on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512.66
Potential profit: $512.66
User PnL: -$40.93

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.62
Potential profit: $253.62
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.68
Potential profit: $107.68
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.74
Potential profit: $77.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.48
Potential profit: $46.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.56
Potential profit: $37.56
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.89
Potential profit: $33.89
User PnL: -$7.01

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.81

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.49

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 29?

Up 83% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

No 95.7% 2.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

No 90% 1.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 70% 1.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 86% 2.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?

No 86% 1.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?

No 87% 1.15 shares