Polymarket Trader

kolhoznik

0x6cb8192eb40281b43d02501a844ba3d0e236a1f7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.41K
Realized PnL: $5K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45.71
Potential payout: $10.16K
Potential profit: $10.11K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$9.28

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.7%
Current value: $984.55
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 3.15x
User PnL: -$15.45

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $442.65
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: -$557.35

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $921.09
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $21.09

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $830.48
Potential profit: $830.48
User PnL: -$100

IR Iran position

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.74
Potential profit: $740.74
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.91
Potential profit: $173.91
User PnL: -$40

Over position

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.01
Potential profit: $150.01
User PnL: -$76.5

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.43
Potential profit: $121.43
User PnL: -$17

Algeria position

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $12.74
Potential payout: $12.78
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $2.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $937.14

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.57

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51.17

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$93.41

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$242.98

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$298.89

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Algeria 11% 90.91 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 23% 173.91 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 14% 121.43 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 22% 454.55 shares
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

IR Iran 27% 740.74 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 55% 363.64 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Over 50% 144.12 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Over 52% 294.11 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Over 51% 588.24 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 64% 781.25 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Yes 65.2% 1,318.12 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 15?

No 12% 830.48 shares