Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Polymarket Trader
bailuzhouab
0x6cba2a82252760cfce479f8817ec05cb1a97f630
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.72
- Realized PnL
- $16.66
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.25B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Yes position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.3
- Potential profit
- $85.3
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be at least $3.0B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.02
- Potential profit
- $83.02
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.02
- Potential profit
- $51.02
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $45 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.25
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $0.7
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.86
- Potential profit
- $40.86
- User PnL
- -$2.05
N
No position
Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.6
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.43
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.63
Y
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Down position
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will José Ramírez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Header" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Y
Yes position
Will Aurelien Tchouameni join Paris Saint-Germain?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Y
Yes position
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will Sandro Tonali stay at Newcastle United?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will Aurelien Tchouameni join Liverpool?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Header" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Vivo Keyd Stars qualify to the EWC
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 7% 20.86 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 3% 14.26 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 5% 5.26 shares
- Will the announcers say "Header" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 5% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Header" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 6% 20 shares
- Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes 4% 50 shares
- Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No 5.5% 56.63 shares
- Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No 6.6% 15.15 shares
- Will Sandro Tonali stay at Newcastle United?Yes 5.2% 23.59 shares
- Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?No 5.5% 50 shares
- Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No 9.2% 20.75 shares
- Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No 11.2% 20.73 shares