Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $14.94
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$20.06
Polymarket Trader
Weldrow
0x6cca2709093e62fa9f86b02cb3f042a6eb8472db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.23
- Realized PnL
- $31.73
- Win rate
- 40.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $163.33
- Potential profit
- $161.05
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.67
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.01
No position
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.68
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.43
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of March 30 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes 0.8% 927.27 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?Yes 3% 163.33 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes 1.1% 927.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 98.1% 10.09 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No 95.6% 10.76 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 25 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes 0.3% 23.05 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 4.5% 7.15 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 13% 17.85 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.3% 56.81 shares
- Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No 99.3% 5.16 shares
- Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No 99.5% 5.15 shares