No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$39.6
Polymarket Trader
KarpFX
0x6cd05b4dcebf9c98ddfe51a471b89b6b62630e11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.2
- Realized PnL
- $36.91
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$35.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $17.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 56% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 20 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes 46% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 87% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98% 36.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 75% 26.67 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 60% 34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.3% 9.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 84% 30 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 45% 33.33 shares