Polymarket Trader

LILDON

@_0xVC

0x6ce9434fbada23a10855d615775b70bfdbd5af21

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.64K
Realized PnL: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $705.15
Potential payout: $705.51
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.31
Potential profit: $361.31
User PnL: -$354

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $348.65
Potential payout: $351.46
Potential profit: $2.81
User PnL: $12.65

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.27
Potential profit: $326.27
User PnL: -$259.12

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.59
Potential profit: $309.59
User PnL: -$50

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.33
Potential profit: $221.33
User PnL: -$153.84

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $38.79
Potential payout: $204.68
Potential profit: $165.89
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.02
Potential profit: $194.02
User PnL: -$24.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $175.05
Potential payout: $176.73
Potential profit: $1.68
User PnL: $32.05

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$31.5

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.27
Potential profit: $163.27
User PnL: -$122

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.97
Potential profit: $161.97
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $55.6
Potential payout: $161.19
Potential profit: $105.6
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$52.4

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $144.81
Potential payout: $145.03
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.84
Potential profit: $136.84
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.05
Potential profit: $136.05
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.65
Potential profit: $134.65
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $113.43
Potential payout: $113.71
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$79

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.88
Potential profit: $91.88
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.37
Potential profit: $85.37
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $62.7
Potential payout: $62.79
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.11

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.92

No position

Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.72

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.63

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.25

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.24

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.95

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.38

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.64

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.99

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.69

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.86

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.31

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.54

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.75

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 95.6% 351.46 shares
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 99.9% 705.51 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

No 86% 62.79 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

No 95% 113.71 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 67% 161.19 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 90% 138.89 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 63% 198.41 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 98.6% 145.03 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 80.9% 176.73 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 204.68 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 99.7% 128.39 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 41% 85.37 shares