Polymarket Trader

0x6CED6D93Dc3F68Ea13ec398279D84E977b486fFB-1768075676511

0x6ced6d93dc3f68ea13ec398279d84e977b486ffb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.74
Realized PnL: $61.16
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $3.48K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.89
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.45
Potential profit: $90.45
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.88
Potential profit: $78.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.04
Potential profit: $75.04
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $69.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.5
Potential profit: $67.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.92
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.3
Potential profit: $51.3
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $45.74
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.04
Potential profit: $39.04
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in January 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 58.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on May 31?

Yes 4.7% 42.55 shares
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on May 31?

Yes 1.3% 78.88 shares
Trump kiss by May 31?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 11.4% 62.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 34.5% 116.66 shares