Polymarket Trader

.0.

0x6cf833cd47e3cc3c6a5dd993b8ec362ec09f042f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $4.74K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $3.83K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$33.22

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $514.68
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $50.33

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$59.3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $179.87
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$14.32

Yes position

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $134.53
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$196.51

Yes position

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.64

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $85.95
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $814.05
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $899.98
Potential profit: $897.73
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.15

Yes position

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $799.97
Potential profit: $797.97
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.2

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $556.15
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $143.85
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $121.78

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $308
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $132
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$18.1

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.8

Yes position

Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $284.88
Potential payout: $384.98
Potential profit: $100.09
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $28.9

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $305.89
Potential payout: $379.99
Potential profit: $74.1
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $11.3

No position

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $351.89
Potential payout: $353.31
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: $76.99

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $166.31
Potential payout: $302.38
Potential profit: $136.07
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $36.8

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $91.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $208.5
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$75.5

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $34.8
Potential payout: $239.99
Potential profit: $205.19
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $81.13
Potential payout: $205.4
Potential profit: $124.27
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $9.21

No position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$26.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 42% 1,000 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 41% 1,000 shares
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 32% 2,000 shares
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

No 76% 200 shares
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Yes 96.8% 1,033.08 shares
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?

No 77% 194.81 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

No 78% 641.03 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?

No 81% 617.28 shares
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Yes 38.2% 131.01 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win by more than 25%?

No 87% 1,149.43 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 33.7% 593.83 shares
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?

No 69% 289.71 shares