No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $352.17
- Potential profit
- $352.17
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Tal
0x6d0884ca489e13235fa8fde73b38d2bb440a4868
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $152.84
- Realized PnL
- -$0.57
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $64
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $70.2
- Potential payout
- $84.07
- Potential profit
- $13.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $15.2
No position
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $31.99
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
N
No position
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $17.98
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.98
N
No position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 64% 62.5 shares
- Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?No 50% 30 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?No 46% 8 shares
- Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?No 50% 30 shares
- Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next PMQ?No 47% 30 shares
- Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next PMQ?No 47% 19.99 shares
- Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?No 50% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 72% 21.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 19.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 38.46 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 69.5% 21.57 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 41% 121.95 shares