Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318.18
- Potential profit
- $318.18
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
0x6D19Fd79C7C84719ea6775A10b26e015cC505dC0-1757318007211
0x6d19fd79c7c84719ea6775a10b26e015cc505dc0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.93
- Realized PnL
- $67.89
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.58
- Potential profit
- $104.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $88.23
- Potential profit
- $83.91
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $84.7
- Potential profit
- $81.19
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $83.12
- Potential profit
- $77.68
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$20.56
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $64.21
- Potential profit
- $63.8
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.6
- Potential profit
- $34.6
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.28
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.77
Yes position
Will the blue bloc win between 81 and 83 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.38
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.4
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party (H) win between 23 and 25 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will H win the second most seats in the Norway election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be more than 84%?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party (H) win less than 23 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win between 41 and 43 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the blue bloc win between 84 and 86 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win between 38 and 40 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the Labour Party (Ap) win less than 47 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.61
Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.67
Yes position
Will the blue bloc win between 78 and 80 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the Progress Party (FrP) win less than 38 seats in the Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.49
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 81 and 84%?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 10.4% 464.92 shares
- Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 4.7% 64.21 shares
- Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 10.7% 18.77 shares
- Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 10% 24.7 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 38% 15.79 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 9% 150 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 16.8% 34.6 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 36.6% 13.15 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 38% 13.16 shares
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 3.9% 129.47 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 29.4% 34 shares