Polymarket Trader

manbo3

0x6d1f2982b71f92879a4747899d7de6227b53890d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.26K
Realized PnL: $395.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $220.53
Potential payout: $221.41
Potential profit: $0.89
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $183.92
Potential payout: $191.88
Potential profit: $7.96
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $158.04
Potential payout: $163.69
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $109.71
Potential payout: $112.47
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $82.42
Potential payout: $84.1
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $41.7
Potential payout: $64.65
Potential profit: $22.95
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$20.42

No position

Will Chainlink reach $20 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $54.05
Potential payout: $54.21
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $48.66
Potential payout: $53.76
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.34

No position

Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $49.66
Potential payout: $50.99
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $49.17
Potential payout: $50.09
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Karmine Corp Make Finals at MSI 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $48.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $36.99
Potential payout: $38.55
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $35.48
Potential payout: $35.64
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $29.51
Potential payout: $29.92
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $26.61
Potential payout: $26.7
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $19.13
Potential payout: $20.33
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $16.59
Potential payout: $16.61
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $12.33
Potential payout: $12.4
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will CZ post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.09

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.74
Potential payout: $7.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$1.36

No position

Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.05

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.92

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.53

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.32

Yes position

Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95

Wolves position

Honor of Kings: Wolves vs Douyu Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.81

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81

No position

Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $7.51

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Buriram United Esports position

Honor of Kings: Buriram United Esports vs Hydra Esports (BO5) - RoV Pro League Group Stage

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 7.75 shares
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?

No 93% 8.32 shares
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in July?

No 94.8% 84.1 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 99.7% 55.6 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 4.18 shares
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 20.2 shares
Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

No 98% 4.24 shares
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

No 98% 6.12 shares
Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

No 98% 7.14 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

No 96% 59.38 shares
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?

No 94% 5 shares
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?

No 94% 74 shares