No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
justaheatfan14
0x6d276c828ff8d3709f536b6ea5a90b31c8c3fdb8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.82
- Realized PnL
- $7.38
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will 'Snow White' gross less than 34m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
Red Wings position
Hurricanes vs. Red Wings
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 91.3% 46 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 91.3% 50 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 35% 87 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 35% 131 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.8% 42.75 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.8% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 92% 50 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 92% 50 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 25 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 12 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 93% 44 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 93% 44 shares