Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$28.06
Polymarket Trader
EvanCross
@Windlace_Mania
0x6d38b748fa7e7b0ef783a177a13a6ca181de382c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.55K
- Realized PnL
- $3.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $212.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $87.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$23.42
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $987.13
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $744.98
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $155.72
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $744.76
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $987.24
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$155.88
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $105.19
- Potential payout
- $779.17
- Potential profit
- $673.98
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$177.22
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $528.23
- Potential payout
- $695.04
- Potential profit
- $166.81
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $148.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $605.06
- Potential payout
- $628.96
- Potential profit
- $23.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $285.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $471.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $28.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $149.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $44.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $455.25
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- -$237.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $352.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $147.5
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $52.74
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $390.59
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$22.6
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $198.55
- Potential payout
- $303.13
- Potential profit
- $104.58
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $174.52
- Potential payout
- $274.84
- Potential profit
- $100.32
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $9.62
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $36.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $163.3
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $102.01
- Potential profit
- $98.4
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$21.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.83
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.61
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.99
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.96
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.68
Stefanos Tsitsipas position
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.98
1win position
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.85
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $75.53
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.36
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 0.2% 201.63 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 70% 71.96 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 72% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 56.5% 64.6 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 28.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 54.1% 847.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 99.1% 201 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.5% 999.67 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.3% 99.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.1% 499.98 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.8% 499.98 shares