No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
manipulated
0x6d456a4bdf6b921c6b823032b5383b3994644008
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$0.72
- Win rate
- 29.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No 31% 2.63 shares
- Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 5 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.4% 5.23 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 72% 1.25 shares
- Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes 33% 1.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 90% 1.28 shares
- Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?Yes 1.1% 18.36 shares
- Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?No 99% 1.14 shares
- Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?No 99.4% 1.2 shares
- Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?No 12% 1.28 shares
- Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?Yes 68% 5.55 shares
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?Yes 35% 5.6 shares