Polymarket Trader

carlosssss

0x6d46210b28d696b9249b7599ab50c331ba4fc50c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.23
Realized PnL: $22.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $127.93
Potential profit: $120.7
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$25.77

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.36
Potential profit: $92.36
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

Yes 25.8% 127.93 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 3.8% 92.36 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 37% 35.14 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Yes 1.5% 200 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 500 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Yes 2.2% 254.55 shares
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Yes 1.9% 263.16 shares