No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $250.68
- Potential payout
- $618.96
- Potential profit
- $368.28
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $53.64
Polymarket Trader
Kelirious
0x6d4867c41ba2c7932f0862fb7b1ff30d54d98ba6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.68
- Realized PnL
- -$236.4
- Win rate
- 26.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.63
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.94
Yes position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.75
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.78
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.86
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Yes position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.93
Yes position
North Korea missile launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$21.53
Yes position
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$22.31
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$273.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 33% 258.12 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 14% 100.2 shares
- Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Yes 11.3% 629.37 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 31% 360.84 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 69.5% 161.04 shares
- Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Yes 7.8% 629.38 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes 1.5% 737.61 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 47.61 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 24% 20.11 shares
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 9.6% 91.26 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 33% 73.84 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes 38.5% 737.62 shares