Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Polymarket Trader
FreakyTangerine
0x6d4d7bbaec92867010bb0652fd47d53e156d801d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.45
- Realized PnL
- $31.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $56
- User PnL
- -$4.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$41.58
No position
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $37.36
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.91
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes 6.4% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?No 97% 40 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 94.5% 44 shares
- Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?Yes 8.1% 51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.6% 41 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes 98.7% 2.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 3.8% 30 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 94.7% 91 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 94.7% 91 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 9 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 148 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 89 shares