No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $5.7K
- Potential payout
- $5.98K
- Potential profit
- $278.09
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $649.48
Polymarket Trader
10Bfakemerchant
0x6d510b0a095590e751a8f1e828bf761fc3de66ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.32K
- Realized PnL
- $797.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $425.25
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $69.75
No position
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $132.44
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $7.56
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.3%
- Current value
- $6.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.97
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- $1.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.34
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.26
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.71
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.86
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.43
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $26.35
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.68
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.1
Wicked position
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.63
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
No position
Obama federally charged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No 98.6% 100 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No 42% 30 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 30% 100 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No 89% 10 shares
- Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No 99.6% 20 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 83% 50 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No 80% 55.8 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No 98.5% 741.76 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No 98.6% 10.61 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No 97.1% 100 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No 97.1% 180 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No 97.1% 108 shares