thfdd

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump out as President by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36
Potential profit: $3.36
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 82.4%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $3.24
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $2.4
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $2.23
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Top Esports position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 78.6%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 78.7%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $2.1
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.38

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?