Polymarket Trader

23engineered

@Commando1176453

0x6d6673d6a14070432201ca247189570d3ddcfc54

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $546
Realized PnL: $2.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $474.28
Potential payout: $668
Potential profit: $193.72
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$80.16

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.37
Potential payout: $122
Potential profit: $111.63
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.27

No position

Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $60.95
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.08

Under position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.2

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.2%
Multiplier: 4.14x
User PnL: $236.08

Under position

Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.36

No position

Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.1

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $192.8

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.76

Yes position

Will Infrared launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.9

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.36

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.16

Yes position

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $70.37

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.33

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.69

Yes position

Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.12

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.42

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.94

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.39

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.55

No position

Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.1

Yes position

Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.2

Yes position

Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.91

No position

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.66

Penn State Nittany Lions position

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $21.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Under 65% 712 shares
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?

No 83% 668 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

No 62% 235 shares
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5

Under 76.9% 178 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

No 64% 235 shares
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

No 76% 225 shares
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

No 76% 417 shares
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?

Yes 22% 25 shares
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

No 75% 642 shares
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?

No 85% 502 shares
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?

No 81% 31 shares
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?

No 86% 533 shares