Polymarket Trader

SignalNotNoise001

0x6d7416717c259b2cccc04dc4dfc62cda714cfb6c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.59K
Realized PnL: $434.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $29.96
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $36.74
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $18.59

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$7.82

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $15.97
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $778
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$13.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $398.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $1.8
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $227.6
Potential payout: $230.02
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.55

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.38
Potential profit: $209.38
User PnL: -$98.41

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.2
Potential profit: $193.2
User PnL: -$98.53

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.25
Potential profit: $124.25
User PnL: -$99.4

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.72
Potential profit: $114.72
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.76
Potential payout: $100.06
Potential profit: $88.3
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $10.09

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $12.56
Potential payout: $100.05
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $10.89

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.05
Potential profit: $100.05
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100.05
Potential profit: $99.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100.05
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $18.46
Potential payout: $100.05
Potential profit: $81.59
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.05
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.15

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.45

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $23.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.28

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.98

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

Celtics position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99% 800 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.3% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.7% 700 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 89.8% 448.48 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?

Yes 4.5% 200 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic?

Yes 2.5% 200 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Korea Republic?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.4% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 95.2% 561.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99% 1,013 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99% 1,696.64 shares