Polymarket Trader

humanbeans

0x6d7776a0f954be1a7c975a1e8244de6268f7b72c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.52M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66M
Potential profit: $1.66M
User PnL: -$2.03K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.09K
Potential profit: $451.09K
User PnL: -$4.9K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.52K
Potential profit: $267.52K
User PnL: -$9.37K

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.83K
Potential profit: $97.83K
User PnL: -$7.94K

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.15K
Potential profit: $87.15K
User PnL: -$5.49K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.8K
Potential profit: $84.8K
User PnL: -$9.32K

Paul position

Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.57K
Potential profit: $63.57K
User PnL: -$7.27K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.85K
Potential profit: $62.85K
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.52K
Potential profit: $56.52K
User PnL: -$7.99K

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.64K
Potential profit: $34.64K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73K
Potential profit: $22.73K
User PnL: -$1.79K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.72K
Potential profit: $22.72K
User PnL: -$440.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $381.01K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $296.37K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.68K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.98K

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.68K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.69K

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.18K

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.59K

Yes position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.02K

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.44K

Sabalenka position

Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.56K

Blue Jackets position

Flames vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.22K

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.38K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.22K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.84K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.54K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.92K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.74K

Yes position

Maduro out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 22,722.49 shares
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 22,722.49 shares
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

No 22% 30.48 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 7% 21,113.03 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 7% 45,058.14 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

No 49.1% 4,305.69 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.5% 27,867.58 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.4% 27,867.58 shares
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

No 98.9% 2,457.84 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

No 49.1% 22,713 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 44% 19,045.36 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 87% 35,792.2 shares