Polymarket Trader

green9

0x6d7974bd5d6454b515eaccee05827f8ad838ae69

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.14K
Realized PnL: $14.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $10.29K
Potential payout: $12.48K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$53.2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$432.32

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $264.6
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $112.81

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$215

Yes position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$816.84

Yes position

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$655.81

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $595.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $466.67
Potential payout: $527.31
Potential profit: $60.64
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1.85

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $395.17
Potential payout: $462.19
Potential profit: $67.02
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $25.17

Yes position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $232.49
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.3
Potential profit: $282.3
User PnL: -$202.58

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $43.32
Potential payout: $240.67
Potential profit: $197.35
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$22.25

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $194.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.11

No position

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $184.26
Potential payout: $194.99
Potential profit: $10.72
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.14

No position

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.69
Potential profit: $182.69
User PnL: -$164.42

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.35
Potential profit: $136.35
User PnL: -$16.36

No position

Lamar Jackson traded by next season?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $123.69
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.69

No position

Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $65.64
Potential payout: $65.93
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $5.64

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $17.14
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$6.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.37

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.96

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.2

49ers position

49ers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $259.94

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.53

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.29

Texans position

Texans vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.7

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $146.92

Yes position

Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.57

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.07

No position

XRP all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.42

No position

Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.37

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.49

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.19

Yes position

Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.85

No position

Will James Harden lead the NBA in Assists?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.56

No position

Will Biden pardon SBF?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

No 81% 150 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 95% 499.88 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 53.5% 456.02 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 45% 1,258.49 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 40% 255.61 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 3.3% 1,500 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 2.8% 66.28 shares
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

No 57% 200 shares
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 234.31 shares
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.8% 600 shares
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Yes 89% 409.98 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Yes 14% 700 shares