Polymarket Trader

deged

0x6d8232127b087dcfd9b43cfc1a16837ab056bb8b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.8
Realized PnL: $53.92
Win rate: 34.8%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

England position

Spread: England (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Côte dIvoire position

Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $25.47
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.91
Potential profit: $16.91
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.05
Potential profit: $16.05
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $8.82
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.52

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.16

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.02

Yes position

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.03

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $11.53

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Wuthering Waves win Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.77

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.82

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Yes 99.1% 20.83 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Yes 11% 27.27 shares
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 34% 8.82 shares
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 94.9% 11.15 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 15% 12.5 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 58% 5.17 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Yes 20% 10 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Yes 18.7% 16.05 shares