Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $131.26
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$30.45
Polymarket Trader
BlackSugar.
0x6d8745c21229356d19fb76d5f5d2f93d3b8c4f67
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $312.16
- Realized PnL
- $10.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $53.75
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $779.58
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$16.25
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $86.38
- Potential payout
- $446.43
- Potential profit
- $360.04
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $36.38
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $27.86
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $400.71
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$97.5
Y
Yes position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $12.89
- Potential payout
- $203.01
- Potential profit
- $190.12
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$101.43
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.78
- Potential profit
- $177.78
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.98
- Potential profit
- $165.98
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.36
- Potential profit
- $120.36
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $36.94
- Potential profit
- $36.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.95
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 23?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.9
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.54
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.33
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $194.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.24
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.07
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.49
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.67
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 55% 181.82 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7% 428.57 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 53% 188.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown 52% 9.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp 99% 494.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 98.8% 734.51 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes 1.2% 52.63 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 833.33 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 1,034.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown 67% 16.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown 60% 16.67 shares