No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $411.64
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$628.35
Polymarket Trader
lion449
0x6d8cf07d7e764807bdd97dcf11adef38f73699f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.9K
- Realized PnL
- $2.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $3.76K
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $501.12
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$36.25
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $98.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $359.09
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $108.49
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $8.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$500
Haiti position
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $666.18
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $736.3
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$7.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $121.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $56.03
South Africa position
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$763.62
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $136.63
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $36.63
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $37.74
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$389.5
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $999.49
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $20.92
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $937.5
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $896.86
- Potential profit
- $896.86
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $804.77
- Potential payout
- $870.02
- Potential profit
- $65.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.77
Under position
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $851.06
- Potential profit
- $851.06
- User PnL
- -$400
Algeria position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $781.25
- Potential profit
- $781.25
- User PnL
- -$500
Uruguay position
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$300
Over position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $697.67
- Potential profit
- $697.67
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $596.59
- Potential payout
- $681.82
- Potential profit
- $85.23
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Senegal position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.97
- Potential profit
- $677.97
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.54
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.67
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
Knicks position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.8
Yes position
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.65
Australia position
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.31
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.51
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Brentford FC position
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.92
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $62.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.18
Yes position
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.14
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Haiti 48% 1,402.48 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Over 43% 697.67 shares
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)South Africa 74% 270.27 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown 37% 270.27 shares
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina 64% 937.5 shares
- Spread: Czechia (-1.5)South Africa 74% 810.81 shares
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 7% 431.43 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under 47% 851.06 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.1% 2,918.07 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.1% 1,346.8 shares