Polymarket Trader

0x6D8fE8aaE11bE4a64b4cbbAF2aD3D9a37e228D48-1776922215157

0x6d8fe8aae11be4a64b4cbbaf2ad3d9a37e228d48

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $110.64
Realized PnL: $4.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $138.97
Potential profit: $138.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $76
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.98
Potential profit: $74.98
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.99
Potential profit: $66.99
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $21.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $38.97
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $56.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.24
Potential profit: $58.24
User PnL: -$28.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.67
Potential profit: $55.67
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $54.99
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.03
Potential profit: $48.03
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $42.83
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.86
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.78
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $16.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $13.05
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $22.05
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$3.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.99
Potential profit: $25.99
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.09

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.58

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.09

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?

No 93% 5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 82% 5 shares
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals

No 89% 5 shares
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

No 93% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?

No 68% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?

Yes 17% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

No 65% 5 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 94.6% 20 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 94% 20 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.5% 20 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 82% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?

Yes 14% 8 shares