Polymarket Trader

shwmn

0x6dc2bf317737c5784d5990612bb56fbf5d0b27b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.05
Realized PnL: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $178.05
Potential payout: $206.19
Potential profit: $28.15
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$18.66

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.13
Potential profit: $158.13
User PnL: -$98.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Suns position

Suns vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.23

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

No position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 93.4% 144.68 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 92% 127.84 shares
Suns vs. Trail Blazers

Suns 45% 7,440 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

No 62% 158.13 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?

No 99.3% 12.4 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Yes 98.2% 23 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

No 98.8% 34.13 shares
Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?

No 99.7% 33.72 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

No 95% 32.58 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

No 98.1% 11.05 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?

No 99.2% 19.9 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Yes 97.4% 30.57 shares