No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.31K
- Potential payout
- $20.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $747.11
Polymarket Trader
0x6Dc38952A7dC5c6063D71E84aD26919C6050F57e-1775410870880
0x6dc38952a7dc5c6063d71e84ad26919c6050f57e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.35K
- Realized PnL
- $14.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.01K
- Potential profit
- $6.01K
- User PnL
- -$4.19K
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $35.68
- Potential payout
- $40.78
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $20.19
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $17.4
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $797.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.98
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.3
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.91
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $78.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.88
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.22
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87% 4.87 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 11% 380 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 70.9% 30,925.76 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 61.2% 2,309.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 95% 10 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 95% 16,540.59 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 62% 2,220 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 62% 50 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 94% 8,643.79 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 93% 5,721.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77.3% 35,178.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.9% 12,550 shares