Polymarket Trader

chavezamanda

0x6dc3cec29a1f3bae56d9d446d5981e20285bcf5e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.68
Realized PnL: -$55.74
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.56
Potential profit: $24.56
User PnL: -$13.26

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43
Potential profit: $3.43
User PnL: -$1.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Nascimento position

Nascimento vs. Estevam

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.2%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.26

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.64

No position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 40% 3.43 shares
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Yes 68% 5.68 shares
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Yes 54% 24.56 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 99.9% 4.72 shares
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Yes 99.7% 7.14 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

No 42% 7.51 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

No 13% 50.45 shares
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 69% 21.57 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

No 29% 7.52 shares
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 68% 21.57 shares
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in November?

No 99.8% 13.93 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

No 44% 50.45 shares