Polymarket Trader

Kimuchi

0x6dceb84cb3b8f003c8c4db52c5554303070f4490

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.07K
Realized PnL: $43.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.81K
Potential profit: $8.81K
User PnL: -$45.67

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.91K
Potential payout: $8.53K
Potential profit: $3.63K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$40.49

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$93

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $93
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.91K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$39

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $5.25K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$38

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$7.79

No position

Will Trump dance today?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.73K
User PnL: -$47.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $3.52K
User PnL: -$850.16

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$503.67

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$371.67

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$21.2

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$330.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$7.21

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$423.13

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $120
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $303.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$8.28

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$1.11K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$3.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.35K

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

Yes position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

No position

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

No position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.59

No position

Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.55

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.49

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.39

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 3% 541 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5

Over 61.1% 100 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5

Over 65% 100 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 56% 55 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 99.4% 15,000 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 58% 4,000 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 57% 3,079.41 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 4% 870 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 58% 100 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 73% 100 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 76% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 64% 300 shares