Polymarket Trader

4751346

0x6dd6314d1670f9f1ccccbd6746b0bf2f2fa0f5f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.13K
Realized PnL: $70.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $4.01K
Potential payout: $12.34K
Potential profit: $8.33K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $31.06

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $9.06K
Potential payout: $9.51K
Potential profit: $451.93
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $632.66

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.51K
Potential profit: $5.51K
User PnL: -$41.54

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.3K
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $911.87
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $416.81

No position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $4.5K
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $701.68
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $167.5

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $131.1
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $3.61K
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $766.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $184.15
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $247.75

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $526.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $31.5

Guilherme Pat position

UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.73K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$2.43K

Hailey Cowan position

UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.47K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Brendson Ribeiro position

UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$806.61

Brad Tavares position

UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$1.26K

Loopy Godínez position

UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$1.11K

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.4%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: -$229.43

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.45K

No position

Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$1.5K

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $135.48
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $112.63

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $14.88
User PnL: $228.41

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$855.96

Bukauskas position

UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$969.75

No position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $189.8
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$27.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Bitlord position

Bitlord vs. Korean Jew

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39K

Lemos position

UFC Fight Night: Robertson vs. Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $5.35K

Paulo Costa position

UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22K

MarQuel Mederos position

UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $5.14K

Tofiq Musayev position

UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41K

Darrius Flowers position

UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Darrius Flowers (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92K

Haney position

Brian Norman Jr. vs Devin Haney Nov 22, 2025

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75K

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Sean Brady position

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Jai Herbert position

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Ruffy position

UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Yousri Belgaroui position

UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

Dooho Choi position

UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Kody Steele position

UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

JJ Aldrich position

UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Ethyn Ewing position

UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Ferguson position

Boxing – Salt Papi vs. Tony Ferguson

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Renato Moicano position

UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Raoni Barcelos position

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Shara Magomedov 74% 10 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 300 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 1,000 shares
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 51% 12 shares
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

No 84% 15.87 shares
Will the announcers say "Eye poke" during UFC 250?

Yes 90% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "Eye poke" during UFC 250?

Yes 89.5% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 199.99 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 63% 5,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 69.6% 5,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 86.8% 2,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 84.2% 5,000 shares