NUPlaystation

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $149.6
Potential payout: $797.88
Potential profit: $648.28
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $135.4
Potential payout: $729.93
Potential profit: $594.53
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $35.4

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $40.39
Potential payout: $690.38
Potential profit: $649.99
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $63.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $603.33
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$36.67

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541.77
Potential profit: $541.77
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $534.87
Potential profit: $534.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $166.24
Potential payout: $507.61
Potential profit: $341.37
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $66.24

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $64
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $336
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$61

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $178.82
Potential payout: $270.95
Potential profit: $92.12
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $55.82

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $136.12
Potential payout: $232.68
Potential profit: $96.56
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$13.29

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $212.77
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $97.27
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $84.55
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $60.14
Potential payout: $174.36
Potential profit: $114.22
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$39.86

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.99
Potential profit: $166.99
User PnL: -$118.5

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $106.2
Potential payout: $164.65
Potential profit: $58.45
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.83
Potential profit: $159.83
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.71
Potential profit: $157.71
User PnL: -$20

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $88.45
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $44.56
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.27
Potential profit: $106.27
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.3
Potential profit: $80.3
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.1%
Current value: $42
Potential payout: $68.79
Potential profit: $26.79
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Ashley Avignone be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.94
Potential profit: $67.94
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.49
Potential profit: $63.49
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $60.79
Potential profit: $51.19
Multiplier: 6.33x
User PnL: -$10.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.27

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.26

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.21

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $49.35

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.13

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.72

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.52

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.65

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.37

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.33

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.32

Yes position

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $17.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.69

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.62

No position

Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?