Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $28.74
- Potential payout
- $366.12
- Potential profit
- $337.38
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$58.84
Polymarket Trader
Masterm1nd
0x6decd41ba764037d823efb9dd273cb152f53cefa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $569.26
- Realized PnL
- $2.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.02
- Potential profit
- $305.02
- User PnL
- -$53.99
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.39
- Potential profit
- $273.39
- User PnL
- -$41.78
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $85.29
- Potential payout
- $230.21
- Potential profit
- $144.92
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $147.1
- Potential payout
- $147.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $85.98
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.01
- Potential profit
- $145.01
- User PnL
- -$13.05
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $141.33
- Potential profit
- $141.26
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.61
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.54
- Potential profit
- $140.54
- User PnL
- -$20.4
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $103.32
- Potential payout
- $122.27
- Potential profit
- $18.95
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $23.2
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.84
- Potential profit
- $116.84
- User PnL
- -$21.97
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $102.98
- Potential profit
- $102.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$59.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.6
- Potential profit
- $96.6
- User PnL
- -$24.15
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $77.04
- Potential payout
- $96.3
- Potential profit
- $19.26
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $56.05
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.29
- Potential profit
- $87.29
- User PnL
- -$5.24
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.41
- Potential profit
- $85.41
- User PnL
- -$22.92
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.76
- Potential profit
- $81.76
- User PnL
- -$11.16
Yes position
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.27
- Potential profit
- $81.27
- User PnL
- -$10.4
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.45
- Potential profit
- $80.45
- User PnL
- -$13.68
Yes position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.49
- Potential profit
- $78.49
- User PnL
- -$37.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $77.73
- Potential profit
- $71.9
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$24.01
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $61.22
- Potential payout
- $65.48
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $25.08
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.1
- Potential profit
- $62.1
- User PnL
- -$35.74
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60.59
- Potential payout
- $60.59
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.69
Yes position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.35
- Potential profit
- $59.35
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.03
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.49
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.24
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.49
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.27
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.19
No position
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.6
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.55
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.5
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.06
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.93
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.16
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.69
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.39
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.71
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.27
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.92
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 25% 26.35 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 413.2 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 34% 5 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?No 88% 5 shares
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?No 1.2% 54.08 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 30% 10.21 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 50% 30 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 2% 113.92 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 2% 27.78 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes 27% 27.11 shares
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?Yes 10.1% 49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.6% 135.13 shares