Polymarket Trader

0x6DfdE156CAfA273225508046B2bFB7fF9CC1d4fd-1778874314001

0x6dfde156cafa273225508046b2bfb7ff9cc1d4fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.71
Realized PnL: $161.82
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$135.99

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.5
Potential profit: $687.5
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $197.07
Potential profit: $190.1
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "Bubble" during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.45
Potential profit: $43.45
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $41.74
Potential profit: $41.53
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $11.42
Potential payout: $40.09
Potential profit: $28.67
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.48
Potential profit: $35.48
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $31.06
Potential profit: $20.82
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "EU" or "Europe" during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $24.33
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $0.43

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.56
Potential profit: $25.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "Open Source" during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.23
Potential profit: $24.23
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Data Center" during Fighting Oligarchy?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "ISIS" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $14.95
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.28
Potential profit: $14.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $12.68
Potential profit: $10.27
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $8.78
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Amazon" during Fighting Oligarchy?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.53

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.69

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.67

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Texas" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Ceasefire" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "Token" 20+ times during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 13, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 197.07 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 41.74 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.8% 59.01 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.4% 59.02 shares
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes 26.1% 7.65 shares
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes 15.8% 12.68 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 96.15 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 9.43 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 31.06 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 29.76 shares