Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $684.95K
- Potential profit
- $684.95K
- User PnL
- -$17.88K
Polymarket Trader
metsW
0x6e0254bd74e592700ef62d70201b936038dbbfce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.61K
- Realized PnL
- $102.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $395.97K
- Potential profit
- $395.97K
- User PnL
- -$51.16K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $80K
- User PnL
- -$288.88
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $7.6K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.7K
No position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$165
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$719.49
Yes position
Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$927.03
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$151.67
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- User PnL
- -$293.21
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $570
- Potential profit
- $570
- User PnL
- -$52.12
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.62
- Potential profit
- $381.62
- User PnL
- -$99.22
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.09
- Potential profit
- $183.09
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$2.52
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$89.1
Yes position
Will Danielle Fishel & Pasha Pashkov win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$6.75
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$30.73
No position
Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $77
- User PnL
- -$6.63
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.32K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.68K
Yes position
US bank failure before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
Yes position
Megaquake in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Ohio State position
Texas vs. Ohio State
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $998.78
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 28?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $983.53
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $887.26
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $872.92
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.78
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.74
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Jaguars
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490
Rams position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $462.18
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.54
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.68
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $227.81
Harris position
Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 15% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 15% 5,091 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 26% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 26% 10,000 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 16% 5 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 16% 5 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 44% 5 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 3.2% 10 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 57% 5 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 58% 5 shares