eleazar

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $77.74
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$26.67

Yes position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $152
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 13.16x
User PnL: $64.41

Yes position

Will Karmine Corp win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $25.58
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$18.42

No position

Will T1 Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $85.25
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$50.24

Yes position

Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $968.39
Potential profit: $965
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $838.99
Potential profit: $836.05
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $32.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $567.6
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $71.1
Potential payout: $517.06
Potential profit: $445.96
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $10.72

Yes position

Will Karmine Corp Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $388.32
Potential profit: $388.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.11

Yes position

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $205.27
Potential payout: $306.37
Potential profit: $101.1
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $162.08

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $55.48
Potential payout: $299.88
Potential profit: $244.4
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $10.86
Potential payout: $255.51
Potential profit: $244.65
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $5.42

No position

Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $47.31
Potential payout: $248.33
Potential profit: $201.02
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $14.02

Yes position

Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $111.68
Potential payout: $245.44
Potential profit: $133.76
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $65.12

Yes position

Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $237.35
Potential profit: $236.05
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$22.43

Yes position

Will Steven Elliott be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $198.69
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$10.7

Yes position

Will LEC (Europe / EMEA) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $146.02
Potential profit: $140.54
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $14.19
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.81
Multiplier: 7.05x
User PnL: $9.33

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $74.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.99

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.47

Yes position

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.57

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.28

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $261.55

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.21

Yes position

Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.93

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.49

Fnatic position

LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.54

Shifters position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

No position

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.68

Yes position

Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 40 and 69 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.75

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.8

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.57

No position

Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.63

Team Vitality position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.49

INTZ e-Sports position

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.48

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?