Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.85
- Potential profit
- $160.85
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
ponos.cissy
0x6e3051e1c1fe93e8eeaf9852f65c715b08efaf87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.54
- Realized PnL
- $198.68
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.64
- Potential profit
- $81.64
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.3
- Potential profit
- $65.3
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.76
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.18
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $29.48
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.14
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $25.42
- Potential profit
- $23.78
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
N
No position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $20.1
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $17.45
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.21
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $14.21
- Potential profit
- $12.51
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.87
- Potential profit
- $12.87
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $11.67
- Potential profit
- $10.62
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $193.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?No 2% 81.64 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 48% 4.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 61% 1.64 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 14% 14.29 shares
- Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?No 5% 20.1 shares
- Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Yes 53% 1.89 shares
- FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?No 16% 6.25 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?No 26% 7.69 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No 27.3% 7.32 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Yes 14.1% 14.21 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.5% 40 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 39% 2.56 shares