Polymarket Trader

olly1605

0x6e391fdfbf61e179c60b4b025e5d1048208cb974

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.78
Realized PnL: -$1.51
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $19.6
Potential payout: $36.63
Potential profit: $17.03
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $12.19
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Melania say "Child" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.27

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 27.3% 36.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 48% 20.83 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

No 58% 41.66 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 81% 31.74 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

No 48% 41.67 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 63% 31.75 shares
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 90.9 shares
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 99% 27.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Yes 12.7% 113.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Yes 8.8% 113.77 shares